Bitcoin 2026: The Bull Edge is Back — Eyes on $102K & $108K

As we move deeper into Q1 2026, the “wait and see” period for Bitcoin is officially ending. After the massive volatility that defined late 2025, the dust is settling, and the tape is telling a clear story: The bulls are starting to take a slight edge.

While the bears tried to seize the narrative after the October peak, the price action suggests they’re running out of steam. Here is why we’re shifting our stance to aggressive bullishness for the next two months.

The $82,500 Line in the Sand

If you want to know where the “smart money” is positioned, look at the $82,500 level. This was the previous major bounce area where the bulls stepped in with conviction to halt the slide.

The fact that we are holding above this pivot—and the 200-period moving average on the 2-day chart—is a massive signal. It shows that despite the “dumping” episodes we’ve seen, the structural demand remains intact. The bulls didn’t just defend $82.5K; they used it as a base to start grinding higher.

The Roadmap: February Targets

We aren’t just looking for a “bounce”; we’re looking for a run back into price discovery. Our swing targets for the end of February 2026 are:

• Target 1: $102,000. Reclaiming the six-figure mark is the first major hurdle.
• Target 2: $108,000. This is where we expect the primary momentum to peak before a broader consolidation.

Strategy: Stop Loss vs. Hedging

In the current environment, your biggest enemy isn’t being wrong—it’s being right but getting stopped out early.

• The Stop: On a daily/2-day closing basis, our hard exit is $79,000.
• The Trap: Be warned—market makers know where your stops are. “Stop hunting” is a sport in Bitcoin.
• The Pro Play: Instead of a naked stop that can get triggered by a 5-minute wick, use hedges. By using micro-futures (0.1 BTC) or protective puts, you can stay in the trade even if the price temporarily dips into the “danger zone.”

The Bottom Line

The trend is shifting. With $82,500 holding firm and the $100K+ barrier back in sight, the next eight weeks are set to be some of the most important in this cycle.

Bitcoin is showing strong signs of a bullish comeback as we close out 2025. With solid support at long-term moving averages, now is the time to refine your strategy. Stay focused, size correctly, and don’t let a temporary wick shake you out of a winning trade.